A recent Fox News poll has revealed that former President Donald Trump is leading current President Joe Biden in three key swing states, namely Arizona, Nevada, and Florida. Furthermore, the two candidates are tied in the crucial state of Virginia. These results were released after the guilty verdict in Trump’s Manhattan hush money trial.
The Fox News survey, conducted among registered voters, demonstrates that Trump is ahead of Biden by 5 points in Arizona, with a head-to-head matchup showing Trump leading with a 51% to 46% margin. In a more complex five-way race scenario, Trump maintains his 5 point advantage over Biden, who garnered 46% support compared to Trump’s 41.
Similarly, in Nevada, the poll shows that Trump is leading Biden by 5 points, with Trump receiving 50% support from voters and Biden securing 45% backing. In a scenario that includes third-party candidates, Trump continues to lead with 45% support compared to Biden’s 40.
Both Arizona and Nevada were narrowly won by Joe Biden during the 2020 election, highlighting the potential impact of these new survey results.
In his adopted home state of Florida, Trump leads Biden by a margin of 4 points in a head-to-head contest (50% to 46. In a five-way race scenario, this lead expands to 7 points, with Trump leading at 47%, while Biden follows closely behind at 40.
Despite these results, the 2024 presidential race remains neck and neck in Virginia. In this state, which Joe Biden won by more than 10 points in 2020, Trump and Biden are tied with 48% support each in a head-to-head matchup. However, when third-party candidates are introduced into the survey, President Biden gains a slim 1 point lead (42% to 41.
Among the various third-party candidates polled, independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. emerged as the strongest performer but did not secure more than 9% support in any of the four states surveyed.
The Fox News survey, conducted between June 1-4, polled over 1,000 registered voters in each state and carries a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
