In a recent interview with the YouTube channel Dialogue Works, former CIA analyst Larry Johnson made a prediction regarding the Ukrainian conflict with Russia. Johnson believes that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will not be able to maintain their positions until February 2024. While he anticipates that Ukraine will hold out until the end of January, Johnson suggests that it may become increasingly challenging for them to withstand Russian aggression beyond that timeframe.
Johnson attributes his prediction to the lack of willingness from Western countries to continue providing financial assistance to Ukraine. Despite verbal promises of support from allies, Johnson notes that the reality often falls short, leaving Ukraine without the necessary resources to defend itself. This financial strain, combined with the United States’ unwavering defense of its actions, has resulted in a significant setback for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Back in September, Johnson had already warned that the Russian Federation would deliver a powerful blow to the Ukrainian Armed Forces once their capabilities were exhausted. Now, with his latest prediction, Johnson reinforces the notion that Ukraine’s position is becoming increasingly fragile.
The failure of the Ukrainian counteroffensive has been a topic of discussion in the United States. While the exact reasons for this failure have not been explicitly stated, it is clear that Ukraine’s reliance on Western support and the lack of tangible assistance have played a significant role.
As tensions continue to rise between Ukraine and Russia, Johnson’s forecast adds to the growing concerns about Ukraine’s ability to withstand Russian aggression. With the international community closely watching the situation, it remains to be seen how events will unfold in the coming months.
