Virginia Democrat Abigail Spanberger Steps Down from Congress to Run for Governor, Boosting GOP’s Chances in the 7th District

Arkansas Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders explains why she decided to back the former president for the upcoming election House Republicans are eyeing a prime pickup opportunity in Virginia, where Rep. Abigail Spanberger, D-Va., announced her retirement early on Monday. Spanberger, a former CIA officer, is leaving the House to run for governor. “Nothing is going right for Democrats in Virginia’s Seventh District, but the NRCC is all hands on deck to flip this now-open seat and grow the House Republican majority,” the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), the House GOP’s campaign arm, said minutes after Spanberger’s announcement.

Spanberger joining the other swing-district Democrats racing for the exits makes House Democrats’ climb out of the minority that much steeper. Her 7th Congressional District encompasses part of Northern and Central Virginia. Democrats’ chances of holding onto it sunk in response to Spanberger — the nonpartisan Cook Political Report downgraded the district from a “Likely” Democrat hold to just “leaning” blue.

House Republicans currently hold a four-seat majority. Spanberger’s district would not be a far-fetched victory for the GOP. She won the seat from Republican incumbent Rep. David Brat in 2018 and only narrowly won re-election both in 2020 and 2022. She was considered one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the last election cycle. Republicans currently hold the House by a narrow four-seat majority. Holding onto that edge will have to come with both flipping new swing districts like Spanberger’s and defending their own vulnerable members in places like New York. Cook Political Report projects 170 solidly Democratic seats compared to Republicans holding 190. The left is also projected to have 40 possible swing seats and 33 on the right.

“When we rise above the chaos and division, we can focus on what matters most to Virginians — lowering prescription drug prices, growing the middle class, lowering costs and easing inflation,” Spanberger said in her campaign debut video. “No more using teachers and our kids as political pawns. It’s about focusing on recruiting and retaining teachers so all of our kids can succeed, and stopping extremists from shredding women’s reproductive rights.”

If she wins the Democratic primary, it will not be current GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin who Spanberger would be facing. Virginia’s constitution forbids governors from serving more than one consecutive term.

The retirement of Abigail Spanberger, a prominent Democrat from Virginia’s 7th Congressional District, has caused a stir in the political landscape. With her announcement to run for governor, the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) wasted no time in expressing their intent to seize the now-open seat and expand the House Republican majority. This development further complicates the Democrats’ uphill battle to regain control of the House, as Spanberger’s departure adds to the list of swing-district Democrats leaving Congress.

Spanberger, known for her background as a former CIA officer, narrowly won re-election in both 2020 and 2022, making her one of the most vulnerable Democrats in recent election cycles. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has downgraded the 7th District’s chances of remaining in Democratic hands, shifting its classification from “Likely” Democrat hold to “leaning” blue. This gives Republicans a promising opportunity to reclaim the seat, especially considering Spanberger’s previous victory over Republican incumbent Rep. David Brat in 2018.

The outcome of the upcoming race in the 7th District will significantly impact the balance of power in the House of Representatives. Currently, House Republicans hold a slim four-seat majority, and retaining this edge will require a combination of winning swing districts like Spanberger’s and defending vulnerable seats in other parts of the country, such as New York. The Cook Political Report projects 170 solidly Democratic seats compared to Republicans’ 190, with 40 possible swing seats on the left and 33 on the right.

In her campaign debut video, Spanberger emphasized the importance of rising above division and focusing on key issues that matter to Virginians, including lowering prescription drug prices, growing the middle class, reducing costs, and protecting women’s reproductive rights. If she secures the Democratic primary nomination, Spanberger will not face current GOP Governor Glenn Youngkin, as Virginia’s constitution prohibits consecutive terms for governors.

The race for Virginia’s 7th District will undoubtedly be closely watched, as it holds significant implications for both parties. Democrats will need to strategize and rally behind a strong candidate to ensure they do not lose further ground in their quest to regain control of the House. Meanwhile, Republicans see an opportunity to solidify their majority and advance their policy agenda. As the political landscape continues to evolve, all eyes will be on Virginia’s 7th District to see which party comes out on top.

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